deceleration in inflation
On expectations of modest deceleration in inflation, RBI revised its CPI projections downwards to 2.4% in Q4 FY19 (2.8% prev), 2.9-3.0% in H1 FY20 (3.2-3.4% prev) and 3.5-3.8% in H2 FY20 (3.9% in Q3 prev).
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RBI reduced Repo Rate
As widely anticipated, RBI reduced Repo Rate by 25 bps to 6.00%. Accordingly, the Reverse Repo rate and Marginal Standing Facility rate stand revised at 5.75% and 6.25% respectively.
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Growth forecasts have been revised
Growth forecasts have been revised downwards to 7.2% in FY20 (7.4% prev) – in the range of 6.8-7.1% in H1 FY20 and 7.3-7.4% in H2 FY20.
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inflation and transmission of policy
RBI reiterated its ‘neutral’ stance with incoming developments on monsoons, inflation and transmission of policy action serving as pre-requisites for further monetary easing.
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Wholesale Price inflation (WPI)
Wholesale Price inflation (WPI) stood at 3.18% for Mar-19 compared to 2.93% in Feb-19 due to a sharp rise in vegetable prices and fuel.
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Indias Index of Industrial Production (IIP)
India’s Index of Industrial Production (IIP) decelerated substantially to 0.1% in February as against growth of 1.7% in the previous month.
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Indias Consumer Price-based inflation
India’s Consumer Price-based inflation for March 2019 came in at 2.86% compared to 4.44% a month prior. Core CPI decelerated to 5.00% in March from 5.30% a month ago.
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