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In its Fifth Bi-Monthly
In its Fifth Bi-Monthly Monetary Policy for FY19, the MPC-panel maintained ‘status quo’. Consequently, key policy rates remained unchanged - Repo rate at 6.50%, Reverse repo at 6.25% and MSF at 6.75%.
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Inflation projections for
Inflation projections for 2018-19 were revised downwards as food inflation has remained benign. It is projected at 2.7%-3.2%% in H2 FY19 (3.8%-4.5% previously) and 3.8%-4.2% in H1 FY20.
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Growth for FY19
Growth for FY19 is projected at 7.4% with 7.2%-7.3% in H2 FY19 (7.3%-7.4% previously). Growth in H1 FY20 is projected to stand at 7.5%.
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Belying market expectations, CPI for Nov-18
Belying market expectations, CPI for Nov-18 stood at a 17 month low of 2.33% vis-à-vis 3.38% (3.31% previously) observed in the previous month aided by a strong favorable base and continued moderation in food inflation. However, core CPI edged higher to 6.18% from 5.81% in the previous month.
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Industrial production witnessed a sharp rise
Industrial production witnessed a sharp rise of 8.1%in Oct-18 vis-à-vis 4.5% in Sep-18. On sequential basis, upward momentum was observed across sectors with Mining at 14.2%, Electricity at 1.9% and Manufacturing at 1.6%.
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Wholesale inflation for Nov-18
Wholesale inflation for Nov-18 came in at 4.64%, lower than 5.28% registered in Oct-18. Despite inflationary pressures from food items, lower fuel prices and a favourable base effect led to this downtick in inflation. Consequently, core WPI inched down to 4.88%, as compared to 5.15% in Oct-18
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